[104219] in Discussion of MIT-community interests
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daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Connor)
Wed May 9 11:02:15 2018
Date: Wed, 9 May 2018 11:09:43 -0400
From: Connor <connor@nightliot.com>
To: <mit-talk-mtg@charon.mit.edu>
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The 0.3 increase followed a 0.1 drop the prior month, a Commerce Department report showed Monday in
Washington. Socalled nominal ing, which doesnt take into account changes in price, declined 0.2 ,
more than estimated, while incomes grew 0.3 for a second month. The best job market since 1999, low
borrowing costs and cheaper fuel bills are driving household ing, which accounts for almost 70 of
the economy. Consumption, having wrapped up its strongest quarterly performance in four years, may
get further support as wages pick up and prices remain contained. The consumer is really doing quite
well, said Russell Price, a senior economist at Ameriprise Financial Inc. in Detroit and the
secondbest forecaster of ing in the past two years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. We have
job growth, wage growth, low inflation, low interest rates, so its a very good situation for
consumers. Well continue to see a strong pace of ing this quarter. Stockindex futures were little
changed, after equities posted their best monthly performance since 2011, as investors assessed the
strength of consumer ing. The contract on the Standard & Poors 500 Index maturing this month fell.
Survey Results Nominal ing was projected to fall 0.1 , according to the median forecast of 80
economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Forecasts ranged from a 0.3 decrease to a 0.5 increase. The
Bloomberg survey median called for incomes to rise 0.4 . Adjusting consumer ing for inflation, which
generates the figures used to calculate gross domestic product, purchases of durable goods such as
furniture and appliances rose 0.2 in January. Demand for nondurable goods also climbed 0.2 . Outlays
on services increased 0.4 , the most since September. The economy expanded at a 2.2 annualized rate
in the fourth quarter, Commerce Department figures showed on Feb. 27. Consumer purchases grew at a
4.2 rate, the fastest since 2010. Auto Sales Demand for automobiles remains steady. Major automakers
all reported their best January U.S. vehicles sales in at least seven years, led by General Motors
Co. The average cost of regular gasoline dropped to 2.03 a gallon on Jan. 25, the cheapest since
2009, according to AAA, the biggest U.S. motoring group. The plunge in energy expenses pushed the
measure of inflation based on consumer ing, the Federal Reserves preferred gauge, down by 0.5 from
the prior month. It was up 0.2 from a year earlier, the least since October 2009. The gauge hasnt
been above the central banks 2 goal since March 2012.
The core price measure, which excludes food and fuel, rose 0.1 from the prior month and was up 1.3
from January 2014. Disposable income, or the money left over after taxes, climbed 0.9 after
adjusting for inflation, the biggest jump since December 2012. It was up 0.5 in the prior month.
Saving Rate The saving rate increased to 5.5 , also a twoyear high, from 5 . Wages and salaries
climbed 0.6 after advancing 0.1 in December. An improving job market is helping households. Payrolls
jumped by 257,000 in January to cap their strongest threemonth run in 17 years. Lower fuel prices
mean Americans can more on other goods and services. Homeimprovement retailers Lowes Cos. and Home
Depot Inc. reported fourthquarter profit that topped analysts estimates as sales get a boost from a
boom in remodeling. Clearly it is a positive thing when a customer has more disposable income in
their pocket, Craig Menear, Home Depots chief executive officer, said on a Feb. 24 earnings call.
Some shoppers are also taking advantage of discounts that retailers are offering. Urban Outfitters
Inc. in February announced fourthquarter sales that exceeded analysts average estimate, helped by
higherthanexpected promotional activity. Nordstrom Inc., the largest U.S. luxury departmentstore
chain, posted fourthquarter profit that trailed analysts estimates as the company cut prices to
clear inventory.
