[1570] in cryptography@c2.net mail archive
Re: CBO estimates
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Carl Ellison)
Mon Sep 22 21:06:08 1997
Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 18:32:50 -0400
To: Steven Bellovin <smb@research.att.com>
From: Carl Ellison <cme@cybercash.com>
Cc: cryptography@c2.net
In-Reply-To: <199709222035.QAA14790@postal.research.att.com>
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At 04:35 PM 9/22/97 -0400, Steven Bellovin wrote:
>See http://www.cbo.gov/showdoc.cfm?index=54&from=2&sequence=0, or go to
>http://www.cbo.gov, then "Cost Estimates", followed by "H.R. 695".
>It's actually a fairly strong argument against this whole concept...
>
>Their estimate of the cost of compliance ranges from $200,000,000 to
>$2,000,000,000 -- an order of magnitude difference. The total size of
I talked with one of the authors. He had estimates from TIS and NSA for the
per-user cost of GAK and those were about an order of magnitude apart (NSA
more expensive).
Note that these are costs *per year* -- not one-time costs.
Note also that the 1996 gross for crypto in the US was given as $100M --
half the minimum estimated cost of GAK (unless I misread the web page).
- Carl
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